Mavs turn to former pro gambler's deep analytics
Haralabos VoulgarisVerifizierter Account. @haralabob. Head of Quantitative Research and Something or Other Dallas Mavericks. Irresponsibly. What Haralabos Voulgaris' New Front Office Job In Dallas Says About Sports Betting And The NBA. Veteran sports bettor and poker player. Bob Voulgaris built a reputation for his expertise on -- and criticisms of -- coaches' strategies and referees' individual tendencies. He drew a faithful following on.Bob Voulgaris Voulgaris’ biography Video
The Big Game Season 2 - Week 5, Episode 1 - topdesignwiki.com For more information, please visit www. Sometimes it takes three or four years to see if a non-conformist strategy works. Latest News.Was Bob Voulgaris den Anbieter Bob Voulgaris beliebt. - Navigationsmenü
Player Bio Sports bettor.
Ewing, Van Gundy, Morey. Player, coach, GM. The names of each corresponding, of course, to the job of each tool. Every score the model spit out was higher than the average lines produced by the bookmakers -- the standard by which they would be judging themselves.
The model, in other words, was recommending that Voulgaris bet the over in every single game. After weeks spent poring through code, Voulgaris finally caught the flaw.
In more advanced versions of Ewing, they would jettison this primitive free throw method. The key is to find those scraps that are more predictive than others.
Each player has two values -- on offense and as a defender -- and those values are constantly changing. So Voulgaris and the Whiz created, for Ewing, an aging component.
Further number-crunching revealed that different types of players, based on position and size, will reach their zeniths at different ages and on trajectories that are possible to predict.
Ewing now grasps the curve of the lifespan of the point guard, the shooting guard, the forwards, the center -- and predicts the downslope and expiration date of every NBA career.
When Ewing went live with actual betting for the first time toward the end of the season, Voulgaris was not yet sold on its powers. For another, the model was performing unremarkably with their money on the line -- right above the break-even line.
So too has the frequency of his wagering. In a season, he now regularly puts down well over 1, individual bets.
It might come as little surprise to learn that Voulgaris has intermittently dreamed of becoming the general manager of an NBA franchise.
If not maybe all. In pursuit of this, in Voulgaris broke one of the cardinal rules of the sharp sports bettor: He sought publicity, conducting interviews with gambling and NBA-centric blogs.
As with everything Voulgaris does, it was a calculated move. He wanted to burnish his bona fides as a quantitative basketball expert.
And it worked. Despite the fact that he was giving up a yearly income that he says would dwarf all but the highest-paid executive in the NBA -- who is Jerry West of Golden State, Voulgaris is quick to point out -- he stopped gambling and signed a contract during the season with one of the co-owners of an NBA franchise to consult on matters of player acquisition and roster assembly.
The owner, according to Voulgaris, made certain alluring pledges. The quant revolution in sports at large has brought these two worlds closer together than ever before, at least intellectually.
Voulgaris spent five months working for the NBA franchise. He says he advised his co-owner client on several trades.
The stats nerds have no chance of ever becoming general managers. During the NBA regular season, which he splits between any number of North American and international ports of call, he watches as many games as he can, clocking more than 80 hours a week.
He typically faces a wall against which rises a rack of Samsung flat-screens: a inch central TV flanked on both sides by vertical ranks of three inch screens, each showing a game.
From here, he orchestrates his wagering: Ewing spits out a projected score and a number representing its level of confidence for each potential wager.
At present, he is not married and does not have any children. However, it is still unknown whether he has a girlfriend. The gambler does not share any personal information on social networks and only occasionally jokes about this topic.
For instance, not so long ago, on Haralabos Voulgaris twitter, there was a message about his unhealthy relationship with Bitcoin. Taking into the fact the gambler has always been extremely dedicated to sports betting it is possible to conclude that he does not have a lot of time for other hobbies.
Besides, he is also known as a poker player. However, he has not managed to achieve a big success in this industry and win any WSOP bracelets and titles.
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